Day 1 in the books
We got Harvin!
Before I get into the potential day 2 picks for the Seattle Seahawks, I want to take a look at a couple things that happened on day 1.
Before the draft, I took to Twitter and Facebook a question to gauge Percy Harvin‘s value compared to the talent in this year’s draft. The results where slightly mixed; however, just about everyone agreed that Percy Harvin would be the top wide receiver prospect.
We all know the Seahawks already used the 25th pick to select Harvin. If he were really in the draft class how high would he go?
— Brett Bivens (@NWProSports) April 25, 2013
I wanted to know how people felt about Harvin because the Seahawks traded this year’s first and seventh round picks, as well as next year’s third round pick. I wanted to see if the Seahawks were getting value to trade up using the draft value chart.
It is already clear that they got one heck of a talented young football player.
Since the consensus was that Harvin would have been the first wide receiver selected, and that the Rams selected Tavon Austin with the eighth overall pick, I will figure the Seahawks would have needed to trade up from the 25th pick to the seventh pick in order to select a better player than Tavon.
The seventh pick in the draft is worth 1,500 points, while the 25th pick is worth less than half (720). That is a deficit of 780 points heading to the Vikings. The Seahawks seventh round pick this year worth another 5.8 points.
It is tough to judge next year’s pick for a couple reasons. First, next year’s picks are considered less valuable than this year’s. Second, we don’t know where they will finish in the standings, so we have no idea what that pick will be.
For the sake of this piece, I am going to value it the same as the Seahawks’ third round pick this year – 155 points.
If you add it all up, Seattle spent 880.8 points to get 1,500 – a savings of 619.2 points. I call that a value. To put it in perspective, the Rams paid five more points than the eighth pick in the draft was worth to acquire Austin.
To make a long story short, the Seahawks had a very solid first day of the draft.
My dream scenario had the Seahawks selecting Alec Ogletree, but the Rams ruined that when they traded up to draft him late in the first round.
I still think that the top priority is to draft a weak-side linebacker. Currently, Seattle has the 56th overall pick, which is where the team should try to address the position.
The Buffalo Bills are likely to draft a linebacker with either the 41st or 46th pick. Meanwhile, the Panthers could select one with the 44th pick, and/or the Giants could use the 49th pick to select another.
Arthur Brown will likely be gone before the Seahawks ever get a chance to pick.
Khaseem Greene is a player whom I would love to see the Seahawks draft at 56. I think most of the talking heads would call this pick a reach, but when was the last time Pete Carroll or John Schneider cared what other people outside of the organization thought?
Maybe the Seahawks will make a bit of a surprise pick by selecting a player like Johnthan Banks.
They added Antoine Winfield in free agency, but drafting Banks in the second round would provide depth while giving the team a starting nickel corner of the future.
Guard is a position that we could see the team try to upgrade. Larry Warford was projected as a first round pick by some; however, I wouldn’t be comfortable drafting him until the third round.
I have questions about his balance that I just can’t have with a second round guard.
That said, if he is available at 87, I would be more than happy to see him drafted by Seattle.
Another player we could see Seattle add in the third round is tight end Jordan Reed. He is a raw tight end who could benefit from playing with Zach Miller, while eventually replacing Miller after Zach’s contract is up.
The only thing I know for sure is that I have no idea what the Seahawks are going to do tomorrow. These are just a few players to get the wheels turning heading into the second day of the draft.