mariners

MLB Rumors: Seattle Mariners Pursuing Andrew Bailey via Trade

MLB Pro’s + Con’s

Rumors were flying through the intertubes about the Seattle Mariners going after the Oakland Athletics closer Andrew Bailey via trade.

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Buster Olney put the odds of his trade at 100%.  While nothing has been released officially, it is no surprise that the struggling A’s would be shopping with the 2009 Rookie of the Year.

If there is as much real interest as the speculation on twitter indicates, claiming Bailey is going to come at a high cost. 

Should the Mariners be throwing in their name for contention on the 27 year old all-star?

Here are some pros and cons.

PRO: Potential Consistency

The Mariners love pitching prospects.  The strategy of Seattle is that dominate pitching will make up for the lack of offense.  They have proven time and time again in their ability to develop pitching talent.  The good thing about Bailey is that he has already been developed.

While he may need to learn a few things about Seattle ball, he could generally be left alone to do his thing.

CON: No Vacancy

The M’s may show some interest, but I’m not convinced they would make a move if it cost them too much.  The Mariners back end of the bullpen is pretty solid.  Brandon League actually posted a better ERA (2.79 vs 3.24) and more saves than Bailey (37 vs 24) did in 2011.

The Mariners need more help in long relief than in set ups or closing.

Andrew Bailey

Seattle Mariners Pursuing Andrew Bailey via Trade?

PRO: Awards

It is good to see a player that has proven themselves to be able to perform at the major league level, especially when that effort is recognized by those who give out the awards.

Rookie of the Year is a major achievement as are all-star appearances during your first two years in the show.

He had a bit of an off year, but has shown to be good stock.

CON: Expectation

Coming in with a shiny resume puts a lot of expectations on you to perform to a certain level.  The pressure of this is evidenced in a player like Chone Figgins.

If Bailey buckles at all with a new ball club we may see a similar performance.  His awards in many ways could be his curse with a club like Seattle.

Conclusion

Is he a good athlete? Yes.  Would the front office like to see him in a Seattle Uniform? Yes.  Should the Mariners pursue him? No.

Unless the M’s can get Bailey for a steal, expect them to stay away from a serious deal with the A’s over this.        

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  • Insider Steve

    I wouldn’t go so far as to say the back-end of the Mariners bullpen is “solid”. I think last season for Brandon League was an aberration. He’s not a closer by any means. I know it’s easy to get caught up in his 2.79 ERA, 1.076 WHIP, 45 K’s, 10 BB’s, 37 SV, .234 BAA, but it was his first full season of being a productive member of a bullpen. In his previous six seasons combined League has been fairly hittable. 4.24 ERA, 1.452 WHIP, 208 K’s, 99 BB’s, 8 SV, .316 BAA.

    Andrew Bailey on the other hand, gives Seattle something they haven’t had since the days of JJ Putz. A shutdown closer. That’s huge to have. Here is his last three seasons combined. 2.07 ERA, 0.954 WHIP, 174 K’s, 49 BB’s, 75 SV, and a .333 BAA. I know his BAA is far to high for a closer, but it is what it is.

    Nothing against Brandon League, but his role is better suited as the set-up guy anyway. His ability to get lefties out from the right side at a high clip is what that role requires. Also, and this is the biggest reason. Eric Wedge doesn’t have anyone else in that bullpen he trusts more then Brandon League. Add Bailey into that mix and that would be a good thing

    • Danwferguson

      I suppose the term solid becomes relative when talking about the bull pen. As in it is more solid than the front end. it would be good to see more on the middle relief range.

      I’m not against a Bailey trade, I’m just not convinced the price tag would be worth it. i would hate to see the mariners give up offensive potential for a pitcher yet again. lets be honest, what else would Oakland be looking for?

      as far as league goes his inconsistent performance in 2010 really annoyed me. I was not an advocate for his role as a closer and yet it seems he works best knowing he has to face a limited number of batters.

      I’m more convinced he is a closer than a set up man.

      • Insider Steve

        I would think the 8th inning guy faces the same amount batters in a half inning as a closer does. It would be interesting to see some kind of batters faced ratio between the 8th and 9th innings.

        I think League can handle both roles.

        I will say this, I’ve never liked the idea of trading for a closer. Over the last five seasons the closer has become an interchangeable part in a bullpen. Because of that, it never makes sense to give up prospects to obtain one. Either groom one from your system or sign one. Especially in your own division..

  • http://proyouthworker.blogspot.com Danny Ferguson

    I think you and I would make very good friends. totally dig your answer.

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