Padres vs Mariners in Seattle: Pitching, series preview, analysis & predictions

Interleague Schminterleague

June 12-14

The Mariners (27-36) hope to crawl back toward .500 in a match up against the Padres (20-41).

Pitching match ups

Game 63: LHP – Clayton Richard vs. RHP – Felix Hernandez

Matchup | Preview

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FS San Diego, Root Sports (Seattle)

Happy Felix Day! Clayton Richard hasn’t had the greatest success this season going 2-7 with a 4.58 ERA.  That being said, teams like the Mariners which are comprised heavily of left handed bats are hitting just .191 against the Friars southpaw.

Clayton is a ground ball pitcher and will pitch to the corners hoping to induce outs.

The Padres are in town.

The M’s need to watch for Richard to make a mistake and take him out of the park.

  • Richards ERA on the road is sitting at 6.57
  • Miguel Olivo has the most career at bats against Richard of any of the M’s staff and his hitting an impressive .292 off of him

Felix is returning to the hill after 11 days off.  Felix missed his last start after slipping on the mound and tweaking his back.

Felix generally does better when his routine is locked in to a regular schedule, often bumping other guys in the rotation around to be sure he plays on the right days.  It will be interesting to see how his focus level is for the game.

For his career Felix is 4-2 with an ERA of 3.07 against San Diego.

  • In 12 starts Felix has pitched 81.2 innings, allowed 31 earned runs, including 9 home runs on 77 hits.  He has also walked 26 and struck out 81 thus giving him a 4-4 record with a 3.42 ERA.

Game 65: RHP – Jason Marquis vs. RHP – Hector Noesi

Marquis, the 33 year old veteran was once a first round draft pick and an all star, but has struggled to find his stuff so far this year.  He started the year with the Twins before being released and has had one start for the Padres so far this season, which he lost.

  • Current Line: 2-5 / 7.65 ERA / 15 BB / 18 SO / 1.90 WHIP

Hector Noesi is hoping that things will go better for him in this start.  Of course in his last outing he was covering for Felix on short rest, so things didn’t go so well.

It really does feel like Noesi could be a better pitcher then what his numbers allow.  He seems to get in the most trouble when he is ahead in the count.

It seems if he could learn how to finish off batters well he could prove to be a really reliable piece for the M’s moving forward.  Until then, you never know what will happen when he takes the mound.

  • Current Line: 2-6 / 5.99 ERA / 25 BB / 40 SO /1.24 WHIP

Game 62: RHP – Edinson Volquez vs. Kevin Millwood

Volquez hasn’t pitched all that bad so far this season, unfortunately for him his team has not backed him up.  The Padres rarely score more than 2 runs when Volquez is on the mound.

In his last outing the team did muster up 5 runs, but Volquez gave up 6.  M’s should be patient at the plate as Edinson has given up 43 walks already this season.

  • Opponents are batting just .231 against him this season
  • He pitches better with runners on base dropping the opponents average to just .195

Although Kevin Millwood threw 6 innings of no hit baseball, he left his last start after a slight groin pull.  The M’s went on to finish the no hitter against the best team in baseball.

There is a possibility that Millwood may miss this start in which case it is likely that Jason Vargas would get the start on short rest or we could see Erasmo Ramirez called up from AAA.

Felix Hernandez

Happy Felix Day! He missed his last start after slipping on the mound and tweaking his back.

Watch for that.

Padres vs Mariners Series Predictions

Game 1:

Very unusually, the M’s have the odds in their favor over this series.

There are a few wild cards with Felix’s return, but the M’s are coming off a non travel day off which should do wonders for the team and allow the bullpen to be ready to take over if Felix can’t make it. Prediction:  Win (Mariners 4 – Padres 0)

Game 2:

Noesi should feel pretty confident pitching at home and against a struggling national league team.  The M’s are also hitting really well off of pitchers like Marquis this season.

Should be an easy win. Prediction: Win (Mariners 5 – Padres 2)

Game 3:

This game is a bit of a toss up with the uncertainty of the starting pitcher.  However I think that the M’s have the edge no matter who they send out to pitch.  Maybe Ichiro Suzuki should get the start. I kid I kid. Prediction: Win (Mariners 4 – Padres 3)


Mariners reliever Lucas Luetge has not allowed an earned run in his first 23 major league appearances (15 innings), a club record. 

Padres center fielder Cameron Maybin is listed as day-to-day after crashing into the center field fence Sunday.

The Padres sent right-hander Andrew Cashner to Double-A San Antonio to build up his endurance and make him a starter.


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