Roughriders vs. Lions CFL handicapping preview week 19

Roughriders (8-9) vs Lions (12-5)

Headline: BC Lions Close Regular Season Saturday at Home Versus Riders

A battle of two Western Conference playoff teams culminates what was a predictably unpredictable CFL season this Saturday. The Saskatchewan Roughriders, losers of three straight games will look to finish .500 on the season and to enter the playoffs with at least a little momentum.

Saskatchewan vs. BC
Date/Time: Saturday, November 3, 10:00 PM ET
Venue: BC Place Stadium
Broadcast: TSN
Riders vs. Lions Betting Lines from Bodog
Spread: Lions -3 1/2 (-110)
Moneyline: OFF
Over/Under: 46 points

The Lions – they have little to play for – escaping Saturday’s game healthy and intact will likely be viewed as a victory for them.

The last thing that Saskatchewan wants to do is to head into the playoffs on the heels of a four game losing streak but that is what is on the line on Saturday. It’s not that the Riders have been playing that poorly – they have been in every game during the streak but have been unable to convert that game changing play or they have committed a mistake that cost them dearly.

Saskatchewan, despite the record still owns two of the more dangerous weapons in the game – Weston Dressler scored a receiving TD and now leads the CFL with 13 receiving majors and he had a kick return TD last week and now has 14 total scores on the year. Kory Sheets has 13 TDs out of the Riders backfield.

The Riders certainly have weapons at their disposal – the trick is putting it all together against BC’s top tier defense.

Saskatchewan’s defense has been fine this year – 3rd against the run and 4th against the pass. Luckily for them, they will likely be facing a watered down version of BC’s offense – the Lions will be looking to rest a few of their starters in order to keep them healthy.

travis lulay

BC Lions Close Regular Season Saturday at Home Versus Riders (Photo – Gerry Kahmann/Postmedia News)

The Lions had a three game win streak snapped last week largely due to one of the worst first quarters of play that I can remember from any team EVER! The fact that Travis Lulay was on the sidelines and Mike Reilly and Thomas DeMarco (WHO????) played quarterback for the Lions also helped contribute to the loss.

Expect much of the same this week. Per the Vancouver Province. “With so little on the line against Saskatchewan, Benevides is more than happy to  get even the smallest contribution from his starter.”

The Lions have home field advantage locked up and have absolutely no need to risky any further injury to their star pivot.

Geroy Simon returned to action last week – a good sign for the Lions going forward. He like the rest of the starters will likely be used sparingly if at all on Saturday in preparation of the impending West Final.

BC’s defense will finish at or near the top of every defensive category in the league this season. This unit has been masterful and even the backups should be able to hold their own on Saturday.

Dave’s Free Won’t Cost You Anything Betting Prediction

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan’s last 5 games when playing British Columbia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Saskatchewan’s last 10 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Saskatchewan’s last 20 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan’s last 6 games
  • British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia’s last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of British Columbia’s last 10 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
  • British Columbia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

We all saw what happened when the Lions trotted out a few backups last week – they didn’t look all that good. This week, expect even more of the starters to be watching from the sidelines.

If there was ever a good situation for the Riders to snap a slump in BC where they have had a ton of trouble, it is this week. The Riders get it done against a bunch of Lions no-names this week!

Pick: Saskatchewan Roughriders +3 1/2


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About Dave B

Dave B is from Beautiful BC. A Fantasy Football writer for 10+ years. A gambler, and a sucker for an early Vegas line. Loves to bet on the NHL, and NFL. A couch potato wannabe, BC Lions, Canucks, & Seahawks fan. Hope’s for world peace + global relaxation.
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